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UK retail sales plunge in August

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • China’s economic activity data for August beat expectations but real estate adjustments and ongoing pandemic restrictions continue to restrain growth
  • Final euro area inflation data for August might well bring an upwards revision 
  • US consumer survey to be watched for signs of improvement in household sentiment and inflation expectations thanks to lower gasoline prices

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Japan’s trade deficit widened to a new record high

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • The euro area’s goods trade deficit is forecast to have widened at the start of Q3
  • BoE inflation attitudes survey likely to report a further increase in consumer inflation expectations in the three months to August

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Japan’s core machinery orders data exceeded expectations

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • UK headline CPI inflation eased slightly in August to 9.9%Y/Y due to lower petrol prices, but core inflation edged up to a new high of 6.3%Y/Y.
  • Having almost breached the ¥145/$ level for the first time since 1998, the Japanese yen appreciated slightly today
  • Euro area IP expected to have fallen somewhat at the start of Q3
  • After the ugly upside surprise in yesterday’s CPI figures, US PPI inflation to be watched closely for signs of persistent pipeline price pressures

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UK GDP growth softer than expected in July

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • All eyes this week to be on US CPI report
  • Euro area natural gas prices fell today to their lowest in a month
  • Japanese business sentiment surveys this week likely to flag still subdued conditions over the summer, 

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German IP fell only slightly

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japan’s BoJ consumption activity index slips back in July
  • China’s trade surplus narrows with exports falling short of expectations
  • US trade deficit expected to narrow on the back of a drop in imports

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