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Japanese GDP returns to growth in Q2

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • China’s economic activity data for July miss expectations, with particular weakness in retail sales and property investment amid ongoing falls in home prices prompting surprise rate cut from the PBoC
  • UK inflation set to reach a new high close to 10%Y/Y (Wednesday) amid tight labour market (tomorrow) despite ongoing weakness in retail sales and extremely weak consumer confidence (Friday)
  • Wednesday will be the main focus in the US, with retail sales data and the latest Fed minutes due

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Japanese economy watchers more downbeat

Emily Nicol
  • US inflation key focus this week – headline inflation expected to ease, but core rate to be higher
  • Chinese trade surplus hits a series high; inflation likely to show underlying price pressures remain subdued
  • UK GDP likely to confirm the economy contracted in Q2

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Japanese manufacturing PMI signals contraction in output

Emily Nicol
  • Chinese PMIs flag downside risks to recovery at start of Q3
  • BoE expected to hike Bank Rate by 50bps and publish its plans for active Gilt sales
  • US ISM surveys and employment report focus

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All eyes on the FOMC announcement

Emily Nicol
  • US Q2 GDP data published on Thursday
  • In the euro area, July CPI data and Q2 GDP data the highlights

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UK retail sales fall; survey flags weakness in spending will persist

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese headline inflation eases slightly in June as fresh food prices drop and energy inflation was limited by policy measures
  • Japan’s flash PMIs surprise on the downside in July as supply constraints and higher cost burdens weigh

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