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Inflation features in the coming week

Emily Nicol
  • China’s Q2 GDP fell short of expectations to suggest a slowing recovery momentum
  • Japanese CPI a key highlight this week, with headline inflation expected to have moved sideways in June
  • All eyes in the UK will be on Wednesday’s inflation figures, with the headline CPI rate expected to have eased
  • Final euro area inflation estimates are expected to confirm that the headline HICP rate fell to a 17-month low
  • June reports on US retail sales and industrial production are due this week

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BoJ Tankan signals improved business conditions

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Payrolls data likely to suggest a moderation in job growth in June; ISM surveys and FOMC minutes also due out this week
  • ECB consumer expectations survey and PPI figures to offer further insight into the euro area’s inflation outlook
  • BoE Decision Maker Panel survey results to offer further insight into UK firms’ output price and inflation expectations

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German consumer confidence softens

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • French consumer confidence rises, despite a further weakening in household purchase intentions
  • Sintra discussion panel featuring Lagarde, Powell, Ueda and Bailey today’s clear highlight

 

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BoJ’s estimates of underlying inflation rise to new series highs

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • Survey signals welcome moderation in UK shop price inflation
  • Lagarde’s keynote speech this morning at the ECB central bank forum in Sintra to be closely watched
  • Italian business and consumer sentiment expected to move broadly sideways, although risks are skewed to the downside

 

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ECB central bank forum to be closely watched

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • This week, the flash euro area inflation estimates are expected to show that the headline rate moderated further, while the Commission’s survey results will provide updates on economic recovery momentum and inflation expectations
  • Tokyo CPI figures will also be in focus at the end of the week, with core inflation expected to have risen to a new 41-year high in June
  • Personal income, spending and PCE deflators the data highlights in the US this week

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