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2020

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  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    20 July 2020 311 KB PDF
    • Business confidence: holding up well (so far)
    • Consumer sentiment: apparent influence from Covid acceleration
    • Federal budget deficit: not surprising, but striking nevertheless
  • European Banks - Credit Update

    European Banks - Credit Update

    20 July 2020 778 KB PDF
    • The argument that retail banks should be split from investment banking operations was strongly rebuffed again in the Q2 results of the largest U.S. banks last week.
    • Nordic banks’ Q2 results were decent, with a strong rebound in profitability and a stabilization in capital levels, yet their results cannot be extrapolated to those from other European regions.
    • Primary markets were quiet, with less than a handful of deals in the market; secondaries tightened, backed by better than expected economic data in US and Europe. 
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    17 July 2020 218 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: improvement in June, but still noticeably shy of pre-virus totals
    • Consumer sentiment: Covid concerns outweigh improvement in the economy
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    17 July 2020 474 KB PDF
    • As leaders met to discuss the EU recovery plan, Bunds made losses as data confirmed a rebound in euro area construction activity and a small uptick in headline inflation.
    • Gilts made losses on a quiet day for UK economic news.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    16 July 2020 162 KB PDF
    • Retail sales: back to normal?
    • Unemployment claims: still far from normal
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    16 July 2020 367 KB PDF
    • Despite some improved French retail and euro area car sales data, Bunds and other euro area govvies made gains as Lagarde stated that the ECB expects to purchase the full PEPP envelope of EUR1.35trn bonds.  
    • With equity markets weaker, Gilts also made gains as the latest UK labour market data suggested only modest improvement in conditions last month following marked deterioration in April and May.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    15 July 2020 225 KB PDF
    • Industrial production: further improvement in June
    • Other data: surge in the Empire index; moderate increase in non-petro import prices
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    15 July 2020 286 KB PDF
    • Despite strong gains in equity markets in the region, Bunds lacked direction on a day of little substantive economic news from the euro area.
    • Gilts made losses as UK inflation data exceeded expectations.