London & NY Research

  • JAPAN

    Daiwa Europe’s market-leading research on the Japanese economy.

  • EUROPE

    Daiwa’s research coverage of the euro area and UK economies.

  • US

    Daiwa’s coverage of the US economy from our colleagues in New York

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2022

2021

  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    24 November 2021 407 KB PDF
    • While Germany’s traffic-light coalition deal was unveiled with few surprises, Bunds largely made modest gains as the ifo business survey reported weakening sentiment and ECB Board member Panetta suggested that the Governing Council should not respond to the current jump in inflation.
    • Gilts made modest losses as a UK manufacturing survey reported a surge in orders and historically high price pressures.

     

  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    24 November 2021 312 KB PDF
    • U.S. economy: Wednesday’s data barrage and the implications for Q4.
    • FOMC: sticking with transitory.
  • Euro wrap-up

    Euro wrap-up

    23 November 2021 519 KB PDF
    • While euro area wage data remained weak, Bunds made big losses as the flash euro area PMIs beat expectations and ECB Board member Schnabel judged the risks to the inflation outlook to be skewed to the upside and said that the PEPP net purchases would probably end next March.
    • Gilts also made losses as the flash UK PMIs also beat expectations and external MPC member Haskel suggested that he could support a BoE rate hike over coming months if the labour market remained tight.
  • European Banks - Credit Update

    European Banks - Credit Update

    22 November 2021 1222 KB PDF
    • BBVA to acquire remaining stake in Turkish subsidiary despite domestic volatility.
    • UK Green Finance Roadmap holds many opportunities for UK firms, if implemented successfully.
    • Primary market issuance picks up but issuers struggle to tighten pricing by much as funding conditions remain challenging. Risk indicators remain elevated compared to prior months while Covid restrictions re-emerge, adding further pressure on secondary market spreads widening.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    22 November 2021 153 KB PDF
    • Existing home sales: recovering.
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    19 November 2021 583 KB PDF
    • Despite another big upside surprise in the German producer price inflation, Bunds rallied after Germany and Austria tightened lockdown restrictions in the face of sharply rising coronavirus cases.
    • Gilts also made significant gains despite a return to growth in retail sales and a rise in consumer confidence, while BoE Chief Economist Pill stated that he was still undecided about how he will vote at next month’s MPC.
  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    19 November 2021 291 KB PDF
    • Inflation expectations: stirring, but not surging.
    • Biden fiscal policy: restrictive, stimulative, or neutral?

     

  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    17 November 2021 151 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: single-family continues to soften; multi-family remains firm.