London & NY Research


    Daiwa Europe’s market-leading research on the Japanese economy.


    Daiwa’s research coverage of the euro area and UK economies.

  • US

    Daiwa’s coverage of the US economy from our colleagues in New York


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  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    24 January 2023 490 KB PDF
    • While the flash euro area PMIs pointed to further stabilisation of economic activity and some continued pressures on output prices at the start of 2023, Bunds made gains as Bank of France Governor Villeroy said that inflation will likely be back at the 2% target by the end of 2024 or early 2025.
    • Gilts outperformed as the flash UK PMIs suggested the steepest pace of contraction in two years as well as moderating input cost and output price pressures. 
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    20 January 2023 527 KB PDF
    • While German producer prices fell for a third successive month, euro area government bonds made big losses as President Lagarde repeated that the ECB intends to “stay the course” on monetary tightening.
    • Gilts also made losses despite an unexpected decline in UK retail sales and a renewed decline in consumer confidence.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    20 January 2023 155 KB PDF
    • Existing home sales: down for the 11th consecutive month; below the pandemic-low
  • US Economic Comment

    US Economic Comment

    20 January 2023 306 KB PDF
    • Tight monetary policy begins to bite
    • A defense for the debt ceiling
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    19 January 2023 399 KB PDF
    • Bunds made losses as the ECB’s account of its December policy meeting confirmed that a large number of Governing Council members had initially preferred a 75bps rate hike, while Lagarde invited the markets to revise up their pricing of the future path of ECB rates.
    • Gilts made modest gains as BoE Governor Bailey noted that inflation is likely to fall rapidly thanks to lower energy prices, while a UK survey signalled a marked weakening in the housing market.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    19 January 2023 155 KB PDF
    • Housing starts: upward wiggle from low level in single-family; multi-family cools (and possibly peaked)
    • Building permits: single-family remained soft; multi-family hinting at slowdown
  • Euro Wrap-up

    Euro Wrap-up

    18 January 2023 504 KB PDF
    • Euro area government bonds followed USTs significantly higher as the drop in the region’s headline inflation rate in December was confirmed.
    • Gilts made far more modest gains as UK inflation fell in December but the core measure exceeded expectations.
  • US Data Review

    US Data Review

    18 January 2023 243 KB PDF
    • Retail sales: cautious spending by consumers
    • PPI: food and energy prices drop; deceleration in prices ex. food & energy
    • Industrial production: softness in manufacturing and mining