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UK GDP falls short of expectations in May

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • UK GDP growth was softer than expected in May, with downside surprises in all main sectors, but still on track for strong Q2
  • China’s CPI inflation slowed to below expectations in June, with core prices edging lower for the first time since November

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All eyes on ECB strategy review outcome

Chris Scicluna
  • All eyes on the ECB today with Lagarde set to announce the outcome of the bank’s monetary policy strategy review with the inflation target framework one key focus
  • Japan’s Economy Watchers survey improves markedly in June with pessimism regarding the household sector declining

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German manufacturing weakness driven by auto supply constraints

Chris Scicluna
  • German manufacturing fell for a second successive month, with the weakness driven by the auto sector as supply bottlenecks continued to impact output
  • BoJ consumption data points to wekakness in Japanese houseold spending in Q2 as trading restrictions in May hit activity

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RBA to pare back pace of QE

Chris Scicluna
  • RBA announces plan to pare back pace of QE and more equivocal about further rate path
  • Japanese wage and household spending figures flattered by base effects
  • German factory orders disappoint in May, but Spanish IP posts further strong growth

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Services PMIs to signal ongoing uptrend

Chris Scicluna
  • Final June services PMIs expected to signal ongoing uptrend in the sector accross the major economies
  • Aussie data point to considerable economic momentum 
  • RBA policy announcment in focus this week, as is the ECB account from June's Governing Council meeting

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