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Japanese economy watchers more downbeat

Emily Nicol
  • US inflation key focus this week – headline inflation expected to ease, but core rate to be higher
  • Chinese trade surplus hits a series high; inflation likely to show underlying price pressures remain subdued
  • UK GDP likely to confirm the economy contracted in Q2

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Japanese manufacturing PMI signals contraction in output

Emily Nicol
  • Chinese PMIs flag downside risks to recovery at start of Q3
  • BoE expected to hike Bank Rate by 50bps and publish its plans for active Gilt sales
  • US ISM surveys and employment report focus

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All eyes on the FOMC announcement

Emily Nicol
  • US Q2 GDP data published on Thursday
  • In the euro area, July CPI data and Q2 GDP data the highlights

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UK retail sales fall; survey flags weakness in spending will persist

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese headline inflation eases slightly in June as fresh food prices drop and energy inflation was limited by policy measures
  • Japan’s flash PMIs surprise on the downside in July as supply constraints and higher cost burdens weigh

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BoJ maintains ultra-accommodative policy

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • BoJ's Kuroda insists that higher rates or a wider target range for 10Y JGB yields are not under consideration despite revising up its inflation forecast over the horizon.
  • ECB set to raise key interest rates for the first time since 2011.
  • With Draghi set to resign as Prime Minister today, the collapse of Italy’s government is particularly ill-timed in light of ECB discussions on its new anti-fragmentation tool.

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