12 December 2018
Chris Scicluna
- Theresa May won the Tory Party confidence vote, but received the backing of fewer than two-thirds of her MPs.
- So, the result highlights significant divisions within her party and fails to reduce Brexit uncertainty.
- Nevertheless, her victory implies that there is still less support in the House of Commons for a ‘no deal’ Brexit than other Brexit scenarios.
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12 December 2018
Chris Scicluna
- Victory for May this evening won't represent a ringing endorsement for the PM, but will likely highlight the lack of support for a no-deal Brexit.
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24 July 2018
Dharshini David
- As Parliament breaks for the summer, the probability of “no deal” Brexit or a second referendum have risen.
- While a soft Brexit remains the central scenario, that will hinge on agreement on the Irish backstop arrangement
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04 July 2018
Dharshini David
- UK ministers meet on Friday to consider May’s proposals for a soft Brexit.
- It’s a risky gamble, given vociferous opposition, but with the clock ticking, it may pay off.
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11 June 2018
Dharshini David
- This month brings a series of crucial showdowns between politicians and officials that will shape the post Brexit landscape.
- Infighting and a lack of strategy and skill could threaten both political stability and the economic outlook.
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