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Brexit: how the drama might unfold

Dharshini David
  • The most likely scenario is that the UK follows the pre-ordained series of steps and leaves the EU on 29th March 2019.
  •  But there have been several twists in the drama so far, and there could be yet more that prolong or even derail the process.

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Irish stew promises Brexit summit indigestion

Dharshini David
  • Ahead of the EU summit on 22nd- 23rd March, there’s pressure to agree a transition deal.
  • But the unresolved issue of how to deal with the Irish border may delay proceedings.

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The “Road to Brexit” has yet to be paved

Dharshini David
  • Prime Minister Theresa May will make the last of a series of speeches mapping out the “Road to Brexit” on Friday.  There is much detail for her yet to provide.
  • The government wants a bespoke deal on trade and regulation. But opposition from its own backbenchers, other parties and the EU Commission may threaten that plan.

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Brexit: The UK government has plenty on its plate in 2018

Dharshini David
  • The Brexit negotiations will once again dominate the attention of investors in UK assets this year.
  • While there’s still a range of possible outcomes, the UK won’t get to have its cake and eat it. 

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Morning comment: No BoJ surprises

Chris Scicluna
  • After the BoJ pulled no surprises overnight, all eyes remain on the bond market. 

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