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Euro area flash CPI estimate set to jump to a fresh euro-era high

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese IP ended a three-month losing streak in October thanks to higher output of cars and machinery; unemployment rate falls to a 7-month low.
  • French inflation beats expectations; French spending on goods starts Q4 on a soft note.
  • UK survey suggests slight softening of business confidence in November.

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Japanese retail sales boosted by relaxed Covid restrictions

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japanese data this week to show that IP rebounded, but unemployment moved sideways.
  • Euro area flash inflation set to rise to a fresh euro-era high in November around 4½%Y/Y.
  • Labour market and retail sales figures among other euro area data this week, with plenty of ECB-speak due too.
  • US labour market report due Friday likely to report another solid month of payroll growth and further drop in the unemployment rate.

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Japan’s flash PMIs point to a rebound in economic growth in Q4

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • BoJ data highlights still-subdued underlying consumer price pressures at odds with trends in other major economies.
  • French business survey suggests most favourable conditions in 20 years.
  • Fed tapering plans to be scrutinized in FOMC minutes.

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BoJ’s exports reveal a rise in shipments of autos to US

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japan's flash PMIs and Tokyo CPI due after tomorrow’s national holiday.
  • Amid rising coronavirus cases, euro area economic sentiment surveys, the ECB’s account and commentary will be closely watched.
  • UK MPC-speak will be a key focus this week, including a speech from Governor Bailey on Thursday.
  • President Biden set to announce his chosen candidate to lead the Fed for the next four years, while FOMC minutes and commentary will also be in focus.

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Japanese inflation remains highly subdued

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Japan's PM Kishida confirms detail of new fiscal stimulus amounting to ¥56trn (a little more 10% of GDP).
  • UK retail sales and consumer confidence tick higher, providing further cover for a BoE rate hike next month.
  • Germany producer price inflation again exceeds expectations, rising to highest since 1951.

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