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German goods trade balance in deficit

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • German goods trade balance in deficit for first time since 1991 as import price shock continues to reverberate
  • ECB meeting account and (subdued) euro area retail sales data to come later in the week
  • Japanese wage and spending figures to be watched this week 
  • US payrolls growth set to have slowed on concerns about economic outlook

 

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Tokyo CPI inflation slips back on food prices

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Tankan reports rise in Japanese firms’ medium-term inflation expectations close to BoJ target
  • Tokyo CPI inflation slips back on food prices; core measures edge higher but remain well below levels consistent with the BoJ’s targets
  • Japanese labour market numbers softer than expected
  • Flash euro area inflation estimate forecast to jump to a new record high

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Japanese IP posts a substantial decline

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • Chinese PMIs signal return to moderate expansion, with improvements in manufacturing and services activity
  • French inflation jumps to a multi-decade high 
  • Despite a modest rise in German retail sales in May, spending on goods looks on track for a sharp drop in Q2

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UK shop price index maintains upward trend

Emily Nicol
Chris Scicluna
  • Japanese retail sales rise for the third consecutive month in May
  • UK’s BRC shop price inflation rose to its highest since 2008 reflecting a further jump in the survey’s food price inflation

 

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ECB Sintra forum key interest

Chris Scicluna
Emily Nicol
  • ECB President Lagarde to give keynote speech tomorrow at ECB's Sintra forum and a panel discussion with Jay Powell and Andrew Bailey on Wednesday – expect signals of further significant monetary tightening to come.
  • Flash euro area inflation data at the end of the will likely register a new record high of 8.4%Y/Y.

 

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