Recent Blogs




Japan’s core machine orders rebound, while China’s CPI falls

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s core machine orders rebound at a record rate in October.
  • China’s CPI falls 0.5%Y/Y in November as pork prices drop again, raw materials lift PPI.
  • German exports continue to outpace imports pushing surplus to largest since February.

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Japan’s Q3 GDP revised up, Reuters Tankan indices improve, but sentiment survey drops

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s Suga says fiscal stimulus to be worth ¥73trn, but general government outlays to increase less than ¥31trn with just over ¥19trn to be funded in 3rd supplementary budget, likely largely via bill issuance.
  • Japan’s Q3 GDP rebound revised up slightly on firmer capex and consumer spending.
  • Japan’s Reuters Tankan indices improve to 10-month high, but Economy Watchers survey points to a sharp drop in sentiment in November as coronavirus cases rise.

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Sterling slides and Gilts rally as tabloids suggest Johnson ready to quit Brexit talks

Chris Scicluna
  • Japanese consumption up again & leading index at 16-month high ahead of 3rd supplementary budget.
  • China’s trade surplus hits record high as exports surge but imports remain subdued.
  • German IP surges at start of Q4 but might be sufficient to offset services weakness.


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German factory orders surge in October back above pre-pandemic level

Chris Scicluna
  • Australian retail sales rebound, driven by easing of restrictions in Melbourne.
  • German factory orders surge above pre-pandemic level.
  • Kiwi construction activity jumps 34.6%Q/Q in Q3 as lockdown ends.

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Japan’s services and composite PMIs revised higher

Chris Scicluna
  • Japan’s services and composite PMIs revised higher, wiping out declines in flash report.
  • BoJ reportedly considering extending business support policies at this month’s meeting.
  • China’s Caixin services PMI surprises to upside; composite PMI highest since March 2010.

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